Much was made of the WPR/St. Norbert poll released last week, in which 58% of respondents said they’d vote for Scott Walker’s opponent if a recall comes to pass, with only 38% saying they’d vote to keep the Governor in office. Worth noting the numbers below the top line, though: in the sample of 482 voters, 34% reported voting for JoAnne Kloppenburg in April’s Supreme Court election, against 27% who said they voted for Prosser. In fact, those votes were evenly split. So it’s way, way, way too soon to say that Walker’s behind in a potential recall election, especially with Wisconsin D’s still in search of a candidate.
(Another interesting result from that poll: people in Wisconsin apparently really like electing their Supreme Court, and in fact would prefer that the prospective justice’s party affiliation be listed on the ballot!)
That’s probably partial evidence of a biased sample, but people also mis-remember who they voted for, and often report the person they wish they had voted for rather than the one they actually voted for. But, it’s definitely also too soon to say anything about an election that isn’t officially even happening yet. Lots will change once it becomes a real possibility.
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