Not the Blue Jays — and I knew it before the Orioles beat them twice in a row. They’ve been leading the division all season; but half their games have been against the woeful Central, while the other good teams in the East have been beating up on each other. If you keep their winning percentage against each division constant, but change their number of games played against each division to match the Orioles’ totals, the Jays wind up in fourth place at 21-25, only a game ahead of Baltimore. (To be fair, our interleague games were against the even more woeful Nationals, while Toronto drew the Braves.)
Not the Yankees — they’re outscoring their opponents by about a quarter of a run per game, which means they ought to be a shade over .500. They won’t win 70% of their one-run games all year long. (Though their scoring will improve with Rodriguez back in the lineup.)
Anyway, none of this matters, since Friday is Matt Wieters Day and the Orioles are playing .750 ball from then on.