- Fellow O’s fan Tom Scocca explains why the Red Sox are the new Grateful Dead in the
*Boston Globe.*(Previously on Quomodocumque: why the Red Sox are John McCain.) - David Carlton is moving to Playdom to work for Steve Meretsky. Steve Meretsky! The guy who wrote
*Planetfall*! - From Baseball Reference: on August 18. 1998, the Braves got nine hits against the Giants, all doubles. Will this feat ever be repeated? About 20% of hits are doubles. let’s say that for some ballparks, or some batting lineups, the chance a hit will be a double goes up to 1/4. Then you might figure the chance of nine hits all being doubles would be (1/4)^9, about one in a quarter-million. (If the chance of a double is 1 in 5, this goes down to one in two million.) From that point of view, it’s not so shocking; there have been about three hundred thousand MLB games played this century, so why not? Two problems. 1. Doubles used to be a lot less common then they are now. 2. If you hit nine doubles off a team’s pitching staff, it probably means they’re having a terrible day, and it probably means at some point you’re going to hit a home run. I think a much better way to assess whether another team’s likely to match the Braves is to check how many times a team has managed eight doubles without a hit. And nobody has. Not seven, either, or six. And just five teams have had 5 doubles in a game with no other hits. I think the Braves are safe here. And I think this is a good example of a question where just looking at the data gives you a much more robust answer than a half-assed probability calculation.
- Not a link: based on the response to my question, tons of people follow the new postings on the arXiv. But hardly anyone follows it, as I do, in Google Reader — according to their stats, the RSS feed for math.AG has only 98 subscribers and math.NT just 83.

## Back to school linkdump

**Tagged**arxiv, david carlton, doubles, google reader, linkdump, outliers, playdom, red sox, tom scocca

I just checked Google Reader for arXiv RSS feeds I follow: math.PR has 36 followers, math.CO has 47.

And AT has 62, and KT has just 28. One of the annoyances I have is that Google Reader is misparsing the authors, which makes it harder to scan the new postings.

What does “misparsing the authors” mean?

Misparsing is the wrong word. They are full of HTML tags.