David Sanger in today’s NYT on the Iran deal:
Mr. Obama will be long out of office before any reasonable assessment can be made as to whether that roll of the dice paid off.
Which is true! But something else that’s true: not having a deal would also be a roll of the dice. We’re naturally biased to think of the status quo as the safest course. But why? There’s no course of political action that leads to a certain outcome. We’re rolling the dice no matter what; all we get to do is choose which dice.